WAR !

  War leads to many miscalculations and of course mistakes. Some dreadful deeds are also done and are likely never to be punished . Especial...

About Me

Retired but always looking for new challenges.

Tuesday, March 1, 2016

ADDITIONAL ASSET CLASSES

Most of us have   read at certain times that money is not worth the value of the paper its printed on!
Unfortunately this is turning out to be the norm , more often than we would like!
It was obvious that there was not enough gold in the world to cover all the paper currencies as in the past. Coming up with PAPER GOLD as it was called was not the answer, but the chosen method politicians decided on. It was thought that the working endeavours of ordinary citizens would always be equal to the value of  a currency. As time has gone on cracks have started to emerge, but the method of dealing with this situation is to ignore it and never mention the bind we find our selves in.
So this has now led to a even more dangerous phenomenon called the BITCOIN ,which we are told is mined out of thin air, according to a complicated mathematical formula, which no one fully understands with no backing of any kind.
TANGABLE ASSET CLASSES are now forming additional methods of preserving wealth so as all our hard earned value is not lost.
GOLD,PLATINUM GROUP METALS,SILVER ,DIAMONDS ARE TRUE WEALTH PRESERVERS, AS THEY CAN BE USED AND STORED AS BARS,COINS OR AS JEWELLERY OR A COMBINATION OF THESE (EXCUDING DIAMONDS OF COURSE).
ANOTHER ADVANTAGE IS THAT THEY CAN BE EASILY CARRIED OR SOLD.
REAL ESTATE UNLESS IN VEHICLES SUCH AS REITS,, CAN BE A BIND IN TIMES OF DISTRESS AS THE FORMER ARE EASILY DEPOSED OF.
STOCK EXCHANGE SHARES ARE ALSO EASILY DEPOSED OF OR BOUGHT IN THE RIGHT SECTORS,MUCH BETTER THAN FIXED DEPOSITS ETC.
Stamps and paintings might not be easily deposed of in times of stress and similar objects such as antiques.
THE LATEST PAGE UPDATES ARE AT  THE TOP ARE ALWAYS AT THE TOP OF THE INDEX ABOVE

Monday, February 1, 2016

South African Financial Strength

Visit the index above as the latest page updates are placed first in the index .
Our economic ship has steadied since the appointment of our  finance minister Pravin Gordhan has been re-appointed .This man has a good record of managing our financial affairs in the past and was a good choice after the two light weights just before his appointment .As a result the Rand has shown signs of strengthening  , at least for the time being!
 We are the most stable financial country on the African Continent.
  Our government has stuck to the capitalist system for the most part, despite agitation from the far left. Unlike many other states in the world it is easier to remove money quickly from our country as there fewer constraints .
 The South African Republic does not go in for "ambush economics" such as Nigeria now seems to be doing. Now that their oil industry is failing  and they cannot balance their budget, they have taken to fining all the large companies such as our own MTN ridiculous amounts of money for frivolous reasons. Western   world companies are also  finding out they also in the line of fire! Surely in the longer term this will negate new companies investing there.
Through its long history South Africa has always paid what it's borrowed from banks in other countries.

Friday, January 1, 2016

NEW YEAR EXPECTATIONS

Our local South African market the JSE is oversold at the moment. Of course our financial state is not good as our balance of payments is not improving  with very low demand  for our commodities and with rating agencies hovering to reduce us to junk status, as we hold on just one notch above junk at the moment.
How ever there signs of some commodities such as copper , platinum group metals , even iron ore having reached a low plateau now as mines tighten their belts taking steps not to over produce and also following tight business principles ,major producers are ready to ride the bad times as they aim to carry on at break even rates.
We feel that stock prices will not fall further in Rand terms as the USD strengthens our Rand weakens and we receive more income. This is because most of our commodities are rated in USD.
The real recovery in commodity prices  is likely only to start taking place toward the middle of 2017 and be in full swing towards the end of   2018!
There is enough information on overseas markets available out there.
Visit the index. above the post regularly.    The latest updates are always placed at the top of the index above.

Friday, December 11, 2015

THE YEAR ENDS

All updates and new lists hopefully be published by the end of February 2016, as we are now closing till that time for a much needed break !
Best wishes for all  readers of these posts and hoping we shall all be successful in the new year !
At the moment our local market is plunging as minerals are not needed by the world in sufficient quantities and local politicians are adding to our woes by unfortunate views, moves and statements!

To counter this action we have closed our positions on most local shares and have invested in the NEWUSD
 ETF and other overseas shares on our local bourse that are overseas based such as REI. Do watch out for too high PE's and keep alerts and some stop losses in place.

Wednesday, December 2, 2015

CLIMATE CHANGE HYSTERIA

I fully realize it does not help to RAIL  against the status quo! 
How   ever ,it is worth pointing that all and sundry are getting on the band wagon, to score at the expense of the poor tax payer ,including SNAKE OIL SALESMEN !

See small cap update above 2/12/2015

The poorest countries whom, by the way produce the least emissions, want quad-trillions  to curb their emissions.
An easier way would be to use the Russian method ,which would be to place a boycott on some of their exports if they do not comply.
The major cause of the excess production of carbon-dioxcide is
of course over population  farting and exhaling and not enough afforestation round the world ,especially in Chinese cities to mitigate these effects. Some extremists want to get rid of cattle and other forms of domestic and wild animals.  Poor animals produce only one quarter of one of the major volcanoes emissions in a year!
Do read our previous post THE GREAT CARBON CREDIT SCAM on Friday 1 2015 below.
There is really no need to reduce human gas industrial activity to zero. All things in moderation is all that is needed.
 The immediate aim is to reduce the temperature rise to less than 2%. REALLY ! WHY?


Tuesday, November 3, 2015

MARKET CHURN and Updates

November Updates (Above)
Summer update and Spring updates 30/11/2015
NEW Under construction TOP 40 ,TEN LIKELY BEST SHARES FOR 2016 
My specialist watch list 16/11/2015
Small cap  & Altex updates 6 , 9 ,21 Nov
Spring update 3 Nov 2015



Post MARKET CHURN

The present market world-wide is going nowhere as prices have run ahead of the general recovery. Stresses and strains are being felt in all basic metal resource producers and with over production in these markets ,things are becoming slowly worse. There is also a re alignment of which metals will be needed in the future world as green house management is now taking centre stage in the developed world. South Africa ,with other developing countries is also feeling the strain leading to social unrest as fewer work opportunities now exist. Impossible demands are being placed on these governments and I am afraid we are in for a further rough time.

Friday, October 2, 2015

October Updates and Notes

 UPDATES SEE ABOVE  INDEX

TOP 40 UPDATES SEE ABOVE 19/10/2015

SMALL CAP UPDATE 16/10/2015

MY SPECIALIST WATCH LIST UPDATE 12/10/2015


NOTE 2  A SURVEY CARRIED OUT IN EUROPE SHOWS THAT THE WORKERS  THAT WORK THE LONGEST HOURS ARE NOT IN GERMANY OR FRANCE BUT IN GREECE. IT ALSO SHOWED THAT IN ALL THE MAIN COUNTRIES PRODUCTION IS FALTERING AND THERE NOT ENOUGH JOBS FOR THEIR CITIZENS,NOW EXCREBRIATED BY THE INFLUX OF ILLEGAL MIGRANTS!


NOTE 1 Some newspapers now are predicting that mineral production will never again produce any profits.Yes there has been a seven year decline in prices and many mines and mining houses are in trouble.
  The main reason is that in the twenty years preceding the decline prices soared as there were shortages for the main part of most types of minerals ,resulting in ramping up supplies resulting in over supply. Even when the writing was on the wall ,copious amounts were produced, such as iron ore.
  Many mines are now being moth-balled or going bankrupt. Minerals will always be needed for our growing world populations and the cycle will eventually be reversed again.
  LET  HOPE MORE SENSE WILL BE USED IN FUTURE SO AS NOT TO GET INTO THE BOOM , BUST CYCLE AGAIN!